Tuesday, 9 November 2010

Currency options trading - SKA options

This is a more complex currency options trading strategy which involves the Swedisk Krona and the US dollar, and as for our recent currency options trading tip, is based on our analysis of further US dollar weakness, which we believe is imminent, as the quantitative programme in the US finally gets into full swing. Despite the rally by the US dollar over the last few days, the technical picture for the currency remains weak as evidenced on the dollar index chart. As such we expect to see the index move towards 75.60 in due course, and thereafter down towards the 72 region for a retest of support here.


Our forecast for the SKA ( USD/SEK) currency options contract is for a move lower towards the 65 area or even as far as 62.50 in due course. In order to take advantage of this move, we suggest the following trade set up which is to buy three put contracts, namely the December 10 at 66.5, the December 10  at 66, and the January 11 at 66.50. 

Currency options trading strategy - NZD/USD

We have a currency options trading alert today on the New Zealand dollar against the US dollar on the NDO options contract. With the US dollar looking set to decline further following last week's FED statement which clarified the QE2 policy, and following a short term bounce higher, we now expect the US dollar to fall further as the quantitative easing programme begins to gain traction, with the USD index continuing to look bearish for the longer term. As such our trading recommendation is on the NDO ( NZD/USD) with a pivot at 76.50 and a forecast move higher towards 81.50 or even 84 in due course.

In order to leverage our trend opinon on the NZD, we would suggest the following currency options trading strategy which is to buy the December call contract at 10.79. Good luck with this trade